Are you scratching your head about the polls? Most show Trump surging ahead, leading in all swing states some beyond the margin of error, leading by 3% in the popular vote. While the Main Stream Media (Dem press CNN, CBS, NYT, etc.) polls have the election tied, tied in all respects. Here's why. If the MSM prints the truth, the Kam campaign will completely collapse, (it's almost there now), all hope, morale and motivation to vote for Kam will be gone, Trump will win in a landslide, down ballot Dems will lose 'yugely'. She is getting slaughtered in early voting. Dems have to make it seem close to give Dems a reason to vote otherwise, not just a loss, landslide. The USA Today piece below is a good example of Dem fake polling information trying to keep the ball in the air for Kam. PG 4 CGR
USA Today, Oct 29, 2024. Kamala Harris is leading Former President Donald Trump by more than one percentage point in a new Economist/YouGov poll out Wednesday, further indicating a close race.
The poll of 1,446 registered voters showed 47% of registered voters either planned to vote for Harris or had already voted for her, while 46% indicated they supported Trump. Due to rounding, the gap is actually closer to two percentage points, the poll stated. Harris' lead among registered voters is within the poll's margin of error (± 3.4 percentage points).
The poll was conducted from Oct. 26 to Oct. 29 and is the final Economist/YouGov poll planned before the election.
"For a large share of voters, their election is over: 40% say they have voted already either by mail or absentee ballot or in person at a polling place − slightly higher than the 37% of registered voters who say they will cast their ballot at the polls on Election Day," the findings state. The poll also shows those planning to vote in-person favor Trump while those voting by mail favor Harris.
A poll's margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results being representative of the entire population.
Pollster Explains Dem Fake Polls (CGR Headline, see Reagan v Carter PJM)
Nov 1, 2024. PJ Media (Partial Article)
Another fascinating aspect of this race is the role media outlets are playing in shaping voters’ perceptions. As Mitchell pointed out, the narrative coming out of left-leaning media outlets is often at odds with what the data actually show. For example, some outlier polls out of Michigan and Wisconsin have put Kamala ahead in the RealClearPolitics averages in those states. Mitchell wonders if these polls were put out to “muddy the water” and create a narrative favorable to Democrats. For example, he mentioned that the recent CNN poll in Wisconsin showing Kamala up six points is meant to give Harris supporters hope, even if the underlying data doesn’t actually reflect her having an advantage.
When looking at the RealClearPolitics averages, Mitchell has consistently found that pollsters underestimate Trump’s performance, especially in key battlegrounds like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. “My personal opinion is that with Trump on the ballot, the polls always underestimate his state performance,” Mitchell explained, reinforcing his belief that the numbers may even be hiding a red surge.
As Mitchell sees it, “if [Trump] can pull off Pennsylvania… that’s probably the election right there.” With strong showings in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, a win in just one of the traditional blue-wall states could clinch Trump’s victory.
If low-propensity Republican voters turn out in droves on Election Day, Trump’s momentum may be difficult to halt. If Mitchell’s predictions are right, the 2024 election might just look a lot like the 1980 election.
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