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Phil Garrett

Trump Rocks The Polls



The Hill, Feb 15, 2024. President Trump leads former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley by 36 points among likely primary voters in her home state, a poll released Wednesday shows.

In the Winthrop University survey, 64.9 percent of likely South Carolina primary voters say they are more likely to support Trump, compared to 28.7 percent who said they would back the former governor.


Haley’s favorability in her home state has also declined in recent months, as she has emerged as the last candidate challenging Trump in the GOP primary.


In an analysis of the poll, Scott Huffman, director of Winthrop’s Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research, suggested the decline in Haley’s favorability coincided with her sharpening of her rhetoric against Trump in recent weeks.


Newsweek, Feb 15, 2024. Newsweek has collected data from FiveThirtyEight and polling to gain a wide picture of polls in primary states this year. If Super Tuesday was held today:

  • Alabama - Trump leads by average of 67.5 points from two polls

  • California - Trump leads by average of 54 points from four polls

  • Massachusetts - Trump leads by average of 33.6 points from three polls

  • Minnesota - Trump leads by 62 points, according to one poll

  • North Carolina - Trump leads by average of 53.3 points from three polls

  • Oklahoma - Trump leads by 77 points, according to one poll

  • Tennessee - Trump leads by 63 points, according to one poll

  • Texas - Trump leads by an average of 62 points from four polls

  • Utah - Trump leads Haley by 27 points, but 13 percent went to DeSantis

  • Vermont - Trump leads by 28 points, according to one poll

  • Virginia - Trump leads by 59 points, according to one poll

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